Discussion in 'The Other 29' started by IWMB, Apr 2, 2017.
Hit on 3 games that went to extras
payout next friday
That's some wise shit right there.
OVERALL RECORD: 1-2
RUNNING TOTAL: -0.86 Units
Philadelphia (+163) vs. Washington - 2 units
Took the rest of the 1st series off due to the day offs, now I can stick with a team through the weekend. Phillies will be home dogs throughout and I think they can take 1.
I got scared off the Phils on Saturday because they were favored (-120) and they ended up winning 17-3. Won on Sunday too. Then I didn't look at the schedule on Monday so now I'm waiting til tomorrow to resume.
i only understand units
Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk
Took the +140 on Friday, 4 units. #FlyTheArrow
OVERALL RECORD: 2-3
RUNNING TOTAL: +2.74 Units
+132 vs Yankees - 1 unit
Don't get swept!
OVERALL RECORD: 2-4
RUNNING TOTAL: +1.74 Units
+168 @ Yankees - 1 unit
Can I assume your units are just quarter bets?
but still interested i guess
OVERALL RECORD: 3-4
RUNNING TOTAL: +3.42 Units
Throwing a unit on the Crew today in the rubber game, +190.
don't like the bet tonight
Why not? It's the 1st bet of a round, that's great value. If they lose whatever.
because you will lose
i'd probably bet seattle tonight
The Brewers are likely to lose, but it's not guaranteed. Fangraphs gives them a 32% shot to win. The pitching matchup does them no favors and the Cubs probably won't lose 5 of 6 at home. But the Brewers are scoring like crazy at the moment and have won 6 of 8. They shouldn't be +190, they only are because it's the Cubs.
It's a value play - and those are the ones I want to take with the 1st or 2nd bet of a round. Because I don't care if I lose, I only care once I've lost 4 or 5 in a row. So you saying it's bad because I'll lose has no relevance to me.
I feel like you're still not understanding how profit grinding works. You look at everything too short term. I'm not going to take the Mariners -140, that serves me no purpose. The point is to take advantage of dog lines over time, because they don't lose every game.
I understand what you're doing, but it's not a good way to gamble.
The best way to gamble is to win, why throw a bet out there if you don't care if you lose, even if you're playing with house money. You don't hit on 19 because you have house money. c'mon
You know how road dogs +190 fared last season? 2-6, shitty, netting -2.2 units
Why not just bet the series win line and then hedge your bets from there?
Like I said, short term thinking. You can't look at the bet as an individual event. I'm playing the system to grind profit over time. So far I'm doing slightly better than my 40% win goal, and am up.
The house money part is irrelevant. I'm trying to build up a bigger bank roll for football season by playing it smart.
So 25%. If they have a 32% shot to win, I'm getting value - which is my goal early in a round.
play the dogs over the course of a season, and you'll lose.
every single year
long term/short term - you want to win, win and win again
at some point either cash or credit will run out, so why not look at short term, this is sports gambling, not buying a bunch of shares of BAC and waiting for happy days to come while cashing your dividends
gay gentleman Brewers should've broken it open in the 6th. Cubs probably about to go ahead
4-3 to the 9th
Hit the Chicago moneyline parlay last night. Bulls (+270), Sox (+170), Cubs (-170) paid out ~15:1.
Makes up and then some for the loss I'll take on betting the Hawks +320 when they went down 0-2. Hawks are now at 8:1 series odds, but can't see myself getting in any deeper on this disaster of a series.
advantage again: CHOPS
Except I'd only be up +~$3.00 on the Mariners and the Brewers would've been +$9.75. Can't pretend they're even bets.
I guess betting online is different than with a book?
If I call in 100 on Seattle, I win 100 when they win, lose 140 if they lose.
Also, I won, you didn't.
The point of gambling is to win...
How is it any different? I wasn't going to bet more than my 1 starting unit.
I get it. Not going to keep having the same discussion over and over with you. You don't like the strategy. I don't give a fuck.
if you bet $5 on the mariners, why wouldn't you win $5?
Risk $5 = Win $3
Risk ~$7.50 = Win $5
When I say bet, I'm talking about the money I'm putting down.
So it is different.
I bet $100 on Seattle, I win $100. I lose $140.
Computers appear to be different from the local books.
That's so ass backwards to me. If you go to a book in Vegas you hand them your money and that's your bet. No one is going to say "I bet $500" and then hand them $620, right?
I don't know what the argument is but I've always read +140 as you win $140 on a $100 bet. So you profit $40.
You get $140 PLUS your $100 back, for $140 profit.
Correct, however when I make a bet with my book, I call it in. I don't hand him cash.
No bets in a week?
Nah, just haven't been posting. Missed the weekend, though.
Took the Nats +120 on Monday for 2 units - L
Took them again -120 yesterday for 3.6 units - W
Back to right where I was before the Brewers loss:
OVERALL RECORD: 4-6
RUNNING TOTAL: +3.42 Units
Forgot to make a play to start the series Friday. Last night decided to throw something on the Cubs game, went with Boston -1.5 (+170) for 1 unit.
OVERALL RECORD: 5-6
RUNNING TOTAL: +5.12 Units
+140 - 1 unit
Royals probably won't be favored all series, but I can't see them getting swept there.
The Royals are so bad it kind of makes me mad. The Sox are probably going to win 75% of their games vs KC this year and then KW will delude himself into thinking it's a contending year